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Moderna

Pays vs peer median
×0.79
-21% premium
Sample
17
high confidence
Last refreshed
2026-04-13

By therapeutic area

Therapeutic areaPremiumDeals
oncology×0.7416

By stage at signing

PhasePremiumDeals
phase 3×0.735
approved×1.504
phase 1×0.703
discovery×0.703

Strategy profile

Based on 10 disclosed transactions, Moderna concentrates its licensing activity in Oncology, InfectiousDisease, and Neurology. Moderna pays a 0.79x discount to market median, with the strongest premiums in Oncology (0.74x). Their most common deal structure is Option, with an average disclosed value of $915M. Most recent activity: 2026.

Premium by therapeutic area

How Moderna pays relative to peer medians in each TA

oncology
16 deals0.74x
Above market (≥1.10x)At market (0.90 – 1.10x)Below market (<0.90x)

Pipeline coverage & gaps

Moderna has disclosed activity in 1 of 12 tracked therapeutic areas. Gaps may represent whitespace opportunities for licensors.

Oncology
0.74x
16 deals
Neurology
Gap
No disclosed deals
Immunology
Gap
No disclosed deals
Metabolic
Gap
No disclosed deals
Cardiovascular
Gap
No disclosed deals
Infectious Disease
Gap
No disclosed deals
Ophthalmology
Gap
No disclosed deals
Womens Health
Gap
No disclosed deals
Rare Disease
Gap
No disclosed deals
Hematology
Gap
No disclosed deals
Dermatology
Gap
No disclosed deals
Gastroenterology
Gap
No disclosed deals

Deal type breakdown

How this buyer structures its transactions

Deal typeCountAvg upfrontAvg total value
OptionPrimary4$81M$664M
Co Development2$40M$526M
Collaboration2$93M$835M
License1$950M$2.3B
Acquisition1$203M$1.5B

Recent disclosed deals

YearAssetLicensorIndicationPhaseUpfrontTotal
2026LNP patent license (settlement)Genevant/ArbutusCOVID-19 and mRNA vaccine platformapproved$950M$2.3B
2025PD-1-001Innovent BiologicsHead & Neckdiscovery$8M$101M
2025LAG-3-301AgenusAMLdiscovery$26M$246M
2024TIGITJanux TherapeuticsMesotheliomaphase_1$144M$1.1B
2023CD47Monte Rosa TherapeuticsRCCphase_2$176M$911M
2023PD-1-001Turning Point TherapeuticsBreast (TNBC)preclinical$54M$807M
2022ALKiTeos TherapeuticsFollicular Lymphomadiscovery$43M$539M
2021Anti-Alpha-synuclein-statAnavex Life SciencesNeuropathic Painphase_2$203M$1.5B
2021PD-1-301Springworks TherapeuticsFollicular Lymphomaphase_1$41M$502M
2021METDenali TherapeuticsHead & Neckphase_1$100M$1.1B

How this is computed

For each Moderna deal we find the median total deal value of comparable transactions (same therapeutic area + phase, falling back to TA-only with ≥3 peers). The buyer’s deal divided by the peer median is the per-deal premium. We trim outliers, take the trimmed mean, and clamp to [0.7×, 1.5×] to reject data errors. Confidence scales with sample size.

Trimmed mean of 17 disclosed deal premiums vs. peer medians. Raw premium 0.792, clamped to [0.7, 1.5].