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Small Molecule vs ASO — Neurology Deal Terms Comparison

Small Molecule Median Upfront
$343M
Total: $3.0B
ASO Median Upfront
$389M
Total: $3.5B
Small Molecule Royalties
12.4%-19.8%
Tiered to 23.8%
ASO Royalties
12.9%-20.6%
Tiered to 24.6%

Market Analysis

In neurology, Small Molecule and ASO represent two of the most actively transacted modalities. At Phase 2, Small Molecule deals carry a median total deal value of $3.0B with $343M upfront, compared to $3.5B total value and $389M upfront for ASO. The valuation difference reflects distinct risk-reward profiles, manufacturing complexity, and competitive dynamics.

Milestone structures diverge between the two modalities. Small Molecule development milestones average $890M versus $1.0B for ASO. Commercial milestones are $836M for Small Molecule and $963M for ASO. Royalty rates range from 12.4%-19.8% for Small Molecule and 12.9%-20.6% for ASO.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How do Small Molecule and ASO deal terms compare in neurology?
Small Molecule Phase 2 deals average $3.0B total deal value ($343M upfront), while ASO deals average $3.5B ($389M upfront). The difference reflects modality-specific risk profiles, manufacturing considerations, and competitive positioning.
Which modality commands higher royalty rates: Small Molecule or ASO?
Small Molecule base royalties range from 12.4% to 19.8%, while ASO royalties range from 12.9% to 20.6%. High-tier escalation reaches 23.8% for Small Molecule and 24.6% for ASO.
How do milestone structures differ between Small Molecule and ASO?
Small Molecule deals allocate $890M to development milestones vs $1.0B for ASO. Commercial milestones are $836M (Small Molecule) vs $963M (ASO), reflecting different commercialization profiles and market expectations.
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