Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Licensing Deal Benchmarks
Market Analysis
Non-small cell lung cancer remains the single largest indication by licensing deal volume in oncology. Phase 2 NSCLC deals carry a median total deal value of $1.6B, with upfronts averaging $258M. The enormous addressable market -- over 230,000 new US cases annually -- sustains strong licensee demand despite an increasingly crowded competitive landscape.
Deal structures in NSCLC reflect the high commercial ceiling and well-defined regulatory pathways. Development milestones average $345M, with regulatory milestones of $552M and commercial milestones reaching $483M. The 16/84 upfront/milestone split balances early-stage risk with blockbuster upside.
Royalty rates for NSCLC licensing deals range from 11.8% to 19.3%, with tiered escalation to 23.3%. Assets targeting specific driver mutations (KRAS G12C, EGFR exon 20, MET amplification) command premium terms, while IO-combination approaches face increasing competitive pressure.
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Frequently Asked Questions
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